Probabilistic approach for evaluating the capacity value of intermittent generation

Takuji Chida, Hiroumi Saitoh, Junichi Toyoda

研究成果: Article査読

1 被引用数 (Scopus)

抄録

Several approaches have been proposed for evaluating the capacity value of intermittent generation. In this paper, we assume that the uncertainty included in demand, existing generation, and intermittent generation, can be treated by means of a normal distribution model. Using a newly developed approximation method similar to the Garver approximation, and the Z-stochastic approach, the effective load carrying capability method is comprehensively surveyed. The percentile method adopted in the higher demand level is also discussed in connection with the probabilistic properties of intermittent generation. Numerical examples and a simulation illustrating the probabilistic approach are included.

本文言語English
ページ(範囲)7-16
ページ数10
ジャーナルElectrical Engineering in Japan (English translation of Denki Gakkai Ronbunshi)
191
2
DOI
出版ステータスPublished - 2015 4 1

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • エネルギー工学および電力技術
  • 電子工学および電気工学

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