Land-Use microsimulation model for livelihood diversification after the 2010 Merapi volcano eruptions

Martin Garcia-Fry, Osamu Murao, Syamsul Bachri, Luis A. Moya

研究成果: Article査読

抄録

The 2010 Merapi Volcano eruptions caused significant damage in the Sleman Regency of Yogyakarta, Indonesia. Several households (HHs) were relocated to safely designated areas, but to sustain their livelihoods they have to travel back to their farmlands or change their identities as farmers. This study evaluates post-disaster mobility, aiming to clarify whether a land-use network with distributed livelihood options can complement rural labor in a recovery scenario. We collected sociodemographic and travel routine data in the affected areas. Then, the operational land use and transport microsimulation (OLUTM) model was performed to forecast a future scenario and gauge livelihood changes. Middle-aged farmers with upper median incomes and risk-taking behaviors were found to venture home businesses that contribute to rural labor. A 63% share of livelihoods diversified by farmers and 30% travel utility savings rendered a robust microsimulation system.

本文言語English
論文番号103189
ジャーナルTransportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment
104
DOI
出版ステータスPublished - 2022 3月

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • 土木構造工学
  • 輸送
  • 環境科学(全般)

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