Forecasting Replacement Demand of Durable Goods and the Induced Secondary Material Flows: A Case Study of Automobiles

Shigemi Kagawa, Shinichiro Nakamura, Yasushi Kondo, Kazuyo Matsubae, Tetsuya Nagasaka

研究成果: Article査読

13 被引用数 (Scopus)

抄録

Summary: The aim of this article is to propose a method for forecasting future secondary material flows by combining a product lifetime distribution analysis with a waste input-output analysis and present a simple case study of automobiles. The case study demonstrates that the proposed method enables us to estimate replacement demand of new vehicles, number of end-of-life (EOL) vehicles arising from the aging of vehicles, volume of shredder scraps recovered from EOL vehicles, and volume of shredder scraps required to meet final consumption in the future.

本文言語English
ページ(範囲)10-19
ページ数10
ジャーナルJournal of Industrial Ecology
19
1
DOI
出版ステータスPublished - 2015 2 1

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • 環境科学(全般)
  • 社会科学(全般)

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