Analysis of traffic state during a heavy rain disaster using probe data

Shogo Umeda, Yosuke Kawasaki, Masao Kuwahara

研究成果: Article査読

4 被引用数 (Scopus)


In this study, the traffic state of a commercial vehicle was analyzed from a macroscopic viewpoint by using the probe data of a commercial vehicle in the Shikoku region during a period of heavy rain that occurred in western Japan in July, 2018. A method is proposed to calculate indexes, such as the detour rate and reduction in the number of trips, through an analysis of a trip at each origin-destination (OD) and extracting the route of a detouring vehicle during a disaster by using the results of the calculation. Finally, a method for the early detection of abnormalities, which involves paying attention to U-turn action during traffic disturbances is proposed. The influence of heavy rain on a commercial vehicle was evaluated quantitatively by analyzing the probe data of the vehicle during a disaster period caused by heavy rain. Specifically, analysis was performed on the number of passing commercial vehicles before and after the occurrence of a disaster, changes in running speed, route changes at each OD, and the vehicle trajectory around a regulated area. From the results of the analysis, it was possible to grasp the macroscopic traffic state, OD influenced by the traffic restriction, route in use for the OD during a normal time period, and an alternate route (detour ac-tion) during the disaster time period. With the method for the early detection of abnormalities at the time of a traffic disturbance, which pays close attention to U-turn action, a U-turn after the traffic regulation can be detected; however, it was confirmed that there is a problem in detecting timing and the application range.

ジャーナルJournal of Disaster Research
出版ステータスPublished - 2019 3月

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • 安全性、リスク、信頼性、品質管理
  • 工学(その他)


「Analysis of traffic state during a heavy rain disaster using probe data」の研究トピックを掘り下げます。これらがまとまってユニークなフィンガープリントを構成します。