Agent-based model coupled with Bayesian estimation for evaluation of social acceptance of geothermal development

Shuntaro Masuda, Kyle Bahr, Noriyoshi Tsuchiya

研究成果: Conference contribution

抄録

In Japan, geothermal development has stagnated because of social risks, mainly the opposition of stakeholders. For mitigation of the risks, many studies have been conducted for analysis of social acceptance for development. Among them, Agent-Based Model (ABM) of opinion diffusion in a social network has been used to understand how acceptance develops dynamically. The objective of this study is to improve an existing model that reproduces realworld social network behavior through the introduction of a new parameter which reflects individual characteristics of stakeholders. We estimate the parameter by using a Bayesian network, introduce it into ABM and perform a proof-of-concept simulation of the model. This result gives confidence in the usefulness of this parameter as a practical tool for analysis of social acceptance in the future.

本文言語English
ホスト出版物のタイトルGeothermal Energy
ホスト出版物のサブタイトルPower To Do More - Geothermal Resources Council 2017 Annual Meeting, GRC 2017
出版社Geothermal Resources Council
ページ2056-2067
ページ数12
ISBN(電子版)0934412227
出版ステータスPublished - 2017
イベントGeothermal Resources Council 41st Annual Meeting - Geothermal Energy: Power To Do More, GRC 2017 - Salt Lake City, United States
継続期間: 2017 10 12017 10 4

出版物シリーズ

名前Transactions - Geothermal Resources Council
41
ISSN(印刷版)0193-5933

Other

OtherGeothermal Resources Council 41st Annual Meeting - Geothermal Energy: Power To Do More, GRC 2017
国/地域United States
CitySalt Lake City
Period17/10/117/10/4

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • 再生可能エネルギー、持続可能性、環境
  • エネルギー工学および電力技術
  • 地球物理学

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