@inproceedings{f38c07602d004adcbdf6ecb1a89e1995,
title = "Uncertainty on a short-term flood forecast with rainfall-runoff model",
abstract = "Precipitation forecast has been become a useful asset for flood prediction using rainfall-runoff model. An uncertainty that appears on the forecast affects accuracy of flood prediction, added to that is which possessed in the rainfall-runoff model. The case is in Shichikashuku Dam basin in Japan. The precipitation forecast is a product of short range forecast of Japan operational numerical weather prediction based on Mesoscale Model (MSM) and Regional Scale Model (RSM). The rainfall-runoff model based on distributed tank model. This research estimates total uncertainty by quantifying mean error and standard deviation on the precipitation and discharge forecast. The result has shown that the precipitation forecast is more uncertain than discharge s. Uncertainty is significantly increased after twelve hour and draws a common characteristic between both models.",
keywords = "Flood forecast, Precipitation forecast, Runoff model, Uncertainty",
author = "Hadi Kardhana and Akira Mano",
year = "2009",
month = jan,
day = "1",
language = "English",
isbn = "9783540894643",
series = "Advances in Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering - Proceedings of 16th IAHR-APD Congress and 3rd Symposium of IAHR-ISHS",
publisher = "Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg",
pages = "88--92",
booktitle = "Advances in Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering - Proceedings of 16th IAHR-APD Congress and 3rd Symposium of IAHR-ISHS",
note = "16th Congress of Asia and Pacific Division of International Association of Hydraulic Engineering and Research, APD 2008 and the 3rd IAHR International Symposium on Hydraulic Structures, ISHS 2008 ; Conference date: 20-10-2008 Through 23-10-2008",
}