Strong Linkage of El Niño–Southern Oscillation to the Polar Cold Air Mass in the Northern Hemisphere

Muhammad Rais Abdillah, Yuki Kanno, Toshiki Iwasaki

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

4 Citations (Scopus)


The total hemispheric polar cold air mass (PCAM) amount below a threshold potential temperature is conserved under an adiabatic condition and is a good indicator of polar warming. While the long-term PCAM trends have been investigated, the cause of its interannual variability remains uncertain. Here we find that the El Niño–Southern Oscillation has a strong impact on the total northern hemispheric PCAM amount below a potential temperature of 280 K. The correlation coefficient between the Niño-3.4 and the total PCAM reaches −0.66 over 36 recent winters. During El Niño, the PCAM decreases significantly because of the shorter PCAM residence time at high latitudes. The Aleutian Low intensifies and effectively transfers the PCAM from North America to the North Pacific, causing a significant decrease in the PCAM amount over the northern part of North America and a strengthening of cold air outflows over the central North Pacific. The PCAM coming to the warm ocean disappears rapidly and results in the imbalance of the hemispheric PCAM. This study reveals a notable influence of the tropical forcing on the variability of polar climate.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)5643-5652
Number of pages10
JournalGeophysical Research Letters
Issue number11
Publication statusPublished - 2018 Jun 16


  • El Niño–Southern Oscillation
  • polar cold air mass
  • teleconnection

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Geophysics
  • Earth and Planetary Sciences(all)


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