Slope hazard risk due to rainfall condition in future

Seiki Kawagoe, So Kazama, Masaki Sawamoto

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

Abstract

Extreme precipitation is forecasted by global warming with GCM (General circulation model). The water resource crisis and an increase in the disaster are feared with cause as extreme precipitation in the future. It is necessary to evaluate a high dangerous region by the spatial-temporal distribution to risk mitigation. The risk map is useful of counter measures planning. The situation of take a counter measure can be understood from the time change of the risk map. We made the risk maps of the slope hazard in JAPAN by using forecast climate data (RCM20Ver.2: JMA) and digital geographic information data. I evaluated slope hazard risks about Present climate(1981-2000), Near-future climate(2031-2050), Future climate(2081-2100). The risk indexes are slope failure probability and economic damage of each land use.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationAdvances in Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering - Proceedings of 16th IAHR-APD Congress and 3rd Symposium of IAHR-ISHS
PublisherSpringer Berlin Heidelberg
Pages1108-1117
Number of pages10
ISBN (Print)9783540894643
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2009 Jan 1
Event16th Congress of Asia and Pacific Division of International Association of Hydraulic Engineering and Research, APD 2008 and the 3rd IAHR International Symposium on Hydraulic Structures, ISHS 2008 - Nanjing, China
Duration: 2008 Oct 202008 Oct 23

Publication series

NameAdvances in Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering - Proceedings of 16th IAHR-APD Congress and 3rd Symposium of IAHR-ISHS

Other

Other16th Congress of Asia and Pacific Division of International Association of Hydraulic Engineering and Research, APD 2008 and the 3rd IAHR International Symposium on Hydraulic Structures, ISHS 2008
CountryChina
CityNanjing
Period08/10/2008/10/23

Keywords

  • Climate changes
  • Economic damage
  • Probability
  • Rainfall
  • Slope failure

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Civil and Structural Engineering

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  • Cite this

    Kawagoe, S., Kazama, S., & Sawamoto, M. (2009). Slope hazard risk due to rainfall condition in future. In Advances in Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering - Proceedings of 16th IAHR-APD Congress and 3rd Symposium of IAHR-ISHS (pp. 1108-1117). (Advances in Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering - Proceedings of 16th IAHR-APD Congress and 3rd Symposium of IAHR-ISHS). Springer Berlin Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-89465-0_194