A Simulation Model for Forecasting Urban Vulnerability to Earthquake Disasters in Lima, Peru: “LIMA-UVEQ”

Hideki Kaji; Osamu Murao; Masaki Fujioka; Hidehiko Kanegae; Fumio Yamazaki; Miguel Estrada; Alberto Bisbal

doi:10.20965/jdr.2014.p1069

A Simulation Model for Forecasting Urban Vulnerability to Earthquake Disasters in Lima, Peru: “LIMA-UVEQ”

Hideki Kaji, Osamu Murao, Masaki Fujioka, Hidehiko Kanegae, Fumio Yamazaki, Miguel Estrada, Alberto Bisbal

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

4 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Looking ahead ten or twenty years, the urban population will inevitably increase in the Lima Metropolitan Area (LMA) of Peru. Various urban development projects will naturally be implemented in order to accommodate the additional population, and this could increase vulnerability to disasters from earthquakes if no corrective actions are taken. A computer simulation model termed LIMA-UVEQ was developed so that we could forecast the region’s vulnerability to earthquake disasters over the next twenty years. Two cases were evaluated: one where some earthquake damage mitigationmeasures are incorporated with urban development projects and another where no such measures are implemented. With the modeling results, we then try to propose an appropriate policy mix that can be implemented in line with urban growth.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	1069-1077
Number of pages	9
Journal	Journal of Disaster Research
Volume	9
Issue number	6
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.20965/jdr.2014.p1069
Publication status	Published - 2014 Dec 1

Keywords

Computer simulation
Land use
Lima Metropolitan Area
Population growth
Vulnerability

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality
Engineering (miscellaneous)

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

Access to Document

10.20965/jdr.2014.p1069

Cite this

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AU - Fujioka, Masaki

AU - Kanegae, Hidehiko

AU - Yamazaki, Fumio

AU - Estrada, Miguel

AU - Bisbal, Alberto

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KW - Land use

KW - Lima Metropolitan Area

KW - Population growth

KW - Vulnerability

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A Simulation Model for Forecasting Urban Vulnerability to Earthquake Disasters in Lima, Peru: “LIMA-UVEQ”

Abstract

Keywords

ASJC Scopus subject areas

UN SDGs

Access to Document

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